2016 San Francisco Giants Starting Pitching Rotation

Madison BumgarnerSan Francisco Giants Pitching Rotation Preview

It’s March 1st and the first spring training games are about to begin this week and so the possibilities of what the starting pitching line-up might look like. The signing of free-agents Johnny Cueto and Jeff Samardzija into the pitching rotation make for a strong 5 man rotation.

  1. Madison Bumgarner – Well we all know that Mad Bum is the hero of  the bull pen and has helped the team through some amazing game wins!
  2. Johnny Cueto – If Cueto’s arm stays strong then the team has “..one of the most deadly one-two punches…”
  3. Jeff Samardizija – he is due to have a great season after last year in the American League, but now that he’s returned to the National League where he saw his best pitching statistics, the Giants will be in good shape having Samardizija as Number 3.
  4. Jake Peavy– A veteran with already pitching 14 MLB seasons, but he is a strong 4th place pitcher.
  5. Matt Cain– Cain would have been the number 5 spot, but due to being out with injury, Chris Heston makes the most sense and he’s shown he can step in and pitch a good game.

2016 ZIPS Projections

Madison Bumgarner 210 216 43 2.88
Johnny Cueto 207 178 50 3.16
Jeff Samardizjia 196 180 44 3.18
Jake Peavy 140 112 35 3.77
Matt Cain 150 113 54 4.00
Chris Heston 101 83 31 4.25

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Projecting the Oakland Athletics 2016 Rotation

Jarrod ParkerThe Oakland Athletics Rotation will undoubtedly start with Sonny Gray on Opening Day. Behind him the likely contenders include some combination of Chris Bassitt, Jesse Hahn, Rich Hill and Kendall Graveman. Bassitt and Hahn looked really good when healthy last year with Bassitt compiling a 3.56 ERA, and Hahn a 3.35 ERA. Graveman was more up and down but had a 4.05 ERA in 21 starts. Rich Hill at 36 coming from the Red Sox had a very effective 4 starts with a 1.55 ERA but comes with same questions of health and durability that the youngsters have. While the foursome may not inspire confidence that this will be a set it and forget it rotation all have tremendous upside and teamed with Oakland’s new bullpen could be more effective then people envision. Throwing 5 or 6 good innings could be enough.

Given the inevitable injury and/or underperformance the A’s do have some options.

An interesting wild card is former Ace, Jarrod Parker whom is throwing off a mound after missing the last 2 years with injury. It’s hard to know exactly what to expect from Parker who has just started adding changeups back to his repertoire.

In Mid-May, Henderson Alvarez, whom the A’s signed in the off-season will be healthy and should take one of the rotation spots from any underperforming youngster. Swing-starts should initially go to Felix Dubront.

The A’s top pitching prospect is 6 foot 5 left hander Sean Manaea. Manaea was 6-0 with a 1.90 ERA in 7 starts with 51 strikeouts and only 15 walks in 41 and 2/3 Innings Pitched at Double A Midland after being acquired in the Ben Zobrist trade. He will likely start the year in AAA but could be pushing for a spot in the rotation late in the year if there are injuries or underperformance.

ZIPS Projections for 2016 (no particular order)

Sonny Gray 211.0 179 65 3.20
Chris Bassitt 124 96 45 3.91
Jesse Hahn 105 73 37 4.09
Kendall Graveman 141 88 43 4.33
Rich Hill 84 81 44 4.29
Henderson Alvarez 100 55 23 4.13
Felix Dubront 117 93 47 4.44
Jarrod Parker 93 62 32 4.55
Sean Manaea 113 102 46 4.21


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